Rising trends in the predicted 10-year risk of cardiovascular diseases among Royal Thai Army personnel from 2017 to 2021

Abstract: Deaths from cardiovascular diseases (CVD) are becoming a growing threat to global health, including in Thailand. The aim of the present study was to identify the recent trends in the predicted 10-year risk of CVD among Royal Thai Army (RTA) personnel from 2017 to 2021. The predicted 10-year risk for CVD was calculated through the use of the 2008 updated version of the risk algorithm derived from the Framingham Heart Study data. The current study included 346,355 active-duty RTA personnel aged 30–60 years. The age- and sex-adjusted mean of the predicted 10-year risk for CVD significantly increased from 10.8% (95% CI: 10.8–10.9%) in 2017 to 11.7% (95% CI: 11.6–11.7%) in 2021 (p for trend < 0.001). The overall age- and sex-adjusted prevalence of intermediate-to-high predicted 10-year risk for CVD remarkably surged from 24.9% (95% CI: 24.4–25.4%) in 2017 to 29.5% (95% CI: 29.0–30.0%) in 2021 (p for trend < 0.001). The modifiable risk factors for CVD, including high systolic blood pressure, high body mass index, and current smoking in this population, should be alleviated to mitigate the risk for CVD in the future.

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